Signal intelligence // telemetry

Shape before threshold.

The detector compares the active metric trajectory with historical normal motifs. Robust level, slope, volatility, derivative-DTW distance, and continuity state are combined so a sustained drift can become visible before a static red line is crossed.

detector stateloading
shape score-
evidence time-

contacting specular-edge

Trajectory evidence

Select a metric. The line is the persisted edge history; the amber area marks warning or critical observations.

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Current explanation

Value
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Robust z
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Slope z
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Volatility ratio
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Derivative DTW
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Decoder confidence
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First divergence
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Warm-up remaining
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Candidate evidence

Each sample produces several imperfect clues. Median absolute deviation keeps the baseline useful when the history contains occasional spikes; slope and volatility detect motion rather than only magnitude.

Constrained alignment

The active window is compared with earlier normal windows using a Sakoe-Chiba-bounded DTW path. Derivatives carry more weight than absolute level, which makes trajectory geometry explicit without erasing amplitude evidence.

Continuity decoder

State transitions penalise implausible jumps. A single sample can raise the score, but warning and critical states require temporal support. Recovery also has to earn its way back to normal.

Metric evidence

MetricStateScoreValueDTWSlope zConfidence
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